Institute of

Kamchatka Branch, Geophysical Service, Russian Academy of Sciences

Mail address:

Phone +(7)- 415-2-298045
Fax: (+7)415 229 7982

E-mail: **gusev****emsd.ru**

*including*:

- Earthquake source
physics; random source structure
- Random wave fields
generated by earthquake sources; simulation of strong ground motion
- Engineering seismology,
seismic hazard, seismic zoning
- Data processing and interpretation
- Temporal structure of
catalogs of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions
- Scattering and
attenuation of seismic waves

Marbled limestone found
near

*Gusev A.A. *1983. Descriptive
statistical model of earthquake source radiation and its application to an
estimation of short-period strong motion. Geophys. J. R. astr. Soc., V. 74, p.
787-808. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., V.K. Lemzikov.* 1983. Estimation of scattering characteristics of shear waves in crust
and upper mantle of Kamchatka based of Shipunski station data. Vulkanology and
Seismology. No 1, p. 97-114. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V.K.
Lemzikov. *1985*. *Properties of
scattered elastic waves in the lithosphere of Kamchatka: parameters and
temporal variations. Tectonophysics. V. 112, p. 137-153. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., I.R.
Abubakirov. *1987. Monte-Carlo simulation of record envelope of a near
earthquake. Phys.Earth.Planet Interiors, v.49, p. 30-36. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A. and V.K.* *Lemzikov. *1988. Coda-wave
anomalies in small earthquakes before three large earthquakes in the
Kuril-Kamchatka area. Vulkanology and Seismology, V. 6, No 4, p. 583-603. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A. *1990. A model for
fault plane with many asperities. Volc. Seis., V. 10, p. 59-85. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A. *1988. Two
dilatancy-based models to explain coda-wave precursors and P/S spectral ratio.
Tеctonophys, V. 152, p. 227-237.
**pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V.M.,
Pavlov. *1988. Determination of space-time structure of a deep earthquake source by
means of power moments. Tectonophysics, V. 152, p. 319-334. **pdf >>**

**1989**

*Lemzikov V.K., A.A.
Gusev. *1991. Coda-Based Energy Classification of Near Kamchatka Earthquakes.
Volc. Seis., V. 11, p. 558-578. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A. *1989. Multiasperity
Fault Model and the Nature of Short-Period Subsources. PAGEOPH., V. 130, No 4,
p. 635-660. **pdf
>>**

*Guseva E.M., A.A.
Gusev, L.S. Oskorbin. *1991. A software package for earrthquake data processing:
experimental application to strong motion records. Vulc. Seis., V. 11, p.
648-670. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A. *1990. On relations between asperity population and
earthquake population on a fault. Extended Abstract. Vol. International
symposium on earthquake source physics and earthquake precursors. University of
Tokyo, Bunkyo-ky, Tokyo, p. 140-142. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V.N.
Melnikova. *1992.* *Relationships between Magnitude Scales for
Global and Kamchatkan Earthquakes. Vulc. Seis., V. 12, p. 723-733. **pdf >>**

*Abubakirov I.R.,
A.A. Gusev.* 1990.* *Estimation of scattering properties of
lithosphere of Kamchatka based on Monte-Carlo simulation of record envelope of
a near earthquake. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., V. 64, p. 52-67. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V.M.
Pavlov.* 1991.* *Deconvolution of Squared Velocity Waveform as Applied to the
Study of a Noncoherent Short-period Radiator in the Earthquake Source. PAGEOPH,
V. 136, p. 235-244. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.* 1991.* *Intermagnitude
relationsips and asperity statistics. Pure Appl. Geophys, V. 136, p. 515-527. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A. *1992. On relations
between earthquake population and asperity population on a fault.
Tectonophysics, V. 211, p. 85-98. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., A.G.
Petukhin.* 1996.* *An Algorithm for Forecasting Earthquake Ground Motion. Volc.
Seis., V. 17, p. 571-584. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.* 1995. Baylike and
continuous variations of the relative level of the late coda during 24 years of
observation on Kamchatka. J.Geophys.Res., V. 100, p. 20,311-20,319. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A. *1995*. *Vertical
Profile of Turbidity and Coda Q. Geophys. J. Int., v. 123, p. 665-672. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., I.R.
Abubakirov. *1997.* *Study of the Vertical Scattering Properties of
the Lithosphere Based on the Inversion of *P-* and *S-*Wave Pulse
Broadening Data. Volc. Seis., V. 18, p. 453-464. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.* 1996.* *Peak
factors of Mexican accelerograms: evidence of non-Gaussian amplitude
distribution. J. Geopys. Res., V. 101, p. 20083-20090. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., I.R.
Abubakirov. *1996. Simulated envelopes of non-isotropically scattered body
waves as compared to observed ones: another manifestation of fractal
heterogeneity. Geophys. J. Int., V. 127, p. 49-60. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.* 1997. Temporal variations of the coda decay rate on
Kamchatka: are they real and precursory? J.Geophys. Res., V. 102, p. 8381-8396.
**pdf >>**

*Gusev A. A., E.I.
Gordeev, E.M. Guseva, A.G. Petukhin, V.N. Chebrov.* 1997* *The First Version
of the Amax (MW , R) Relationship for Kamchatka. Pure appl. Geophys, V. 149, p.
299–312. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.* 1997.* *Regional
amplification of ground motion in central Mexico. Results from coda-length
magnitude data and preliminary modeling. J. Seismol., V. 1, p. 341–355. **pdf >>**

**1998**

*Gusev A.A., A.G.
Petukhin. *1998. Possible Timing of Large Earthquakes by 18.6-year Lunar
Cycles, Their Multiples, and Functions. Volc. Seis., V. 19, p. 333-351. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A. A., V. M.
Pavlov. *1997.* *Preliminary determination of parameters of the high-frequency
source for the Dec. 05, 1997, Mw=7.9, Kronotski earthquake. XXVI Gen. Assembly,
Eur. Seismol. Comission, Papers, Tel-Aviv, Israel, p 73-77. **pdf**** >>**

*Gusev **A.**A., **E.**M. **Guseva, **A.**G. **Petukhin, **E.**I. **Gordeev, **V.**N.* *Chebrov. *1998.* *Peak Ground Accelerations in the Kamchatka
Peninsula from Data of Strong Motion Instruments. Izvestiya, Physics of the
Solid Earth, V. 34, No 4, p. 283-290. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.* 1998.* *Earthquake
Precursors: Banished Forever?. Eos, Trans. Amer.Geophys.Union 79, p. 71-72;
Reply, ibid., 79, 373. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., I.R.
Abubakirov. *1999. Vertical profile of effective turbidity reconstructed
from broadening of incoherent body-wave pulses - I. General approach and the
inversion procedure. Geophys.J.Int., V. 136, p. 295-308. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., I.R.
Abubakirov. *1999. Vertical profile of effective turbidity reconstructed from
broadening of incoherent body-wave pulses - II. Application to Kamchatka data.
Geophys.J.Int., V. 136, p. 309-323. **pdf >>**

*Petukhin A.G.,
A.A., Gusev, E.M. Guseva, E.I. Gordeev, V.N. Chebrov. *1999. Preliminary
Model for Scaling of Fourier Spectra of Strong Ground Motion Recorded on
Kamchatka. Pure Appl. Geophys, V. 156, p. 445-468. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., L.S.
Shumilina.* 2000.* *Modeling the Intensity-Magnitude-Distance
Relation Based on the Concept of an Incoherent Extended Earthquake Source.
Volc. Seis., V. 21, p. 443-463. **pdf >>**

*Shumilina L.S.,
A.A., Gusev, V.M. Pavlov.* 2000.* *An improved technique for determination
of seismic hazard. J.of Earthquake Prediction Research, V. 8, No 1, p. 104-110.
**pdf >>**

*Parvez I.A., A.A. Gusev, G.F. Panza, A.G. Petukhin.* 2001.* *Preliminary
determination of the interdependence among strong-motion amplitude, earthquake
magnitude and hypocentral distance for the Himalayan region. Geophys. J.Int.,
V. 144(3). p. 577-596. **pdf >>**

*Gordeev E.I., A.A.
Gusev, V.E. Levin, V.F. Bakhtiarov, V.M. Pavlov, V.N. Chebrov, M. Kasahara.* 2001.* *Preliminary
analysis of deformation at the Eurasia–Pacific–North America plate
junction from GPS data. Geophys. J. Int., V. 147, p. 189–198. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.* 2002.* *On the
seismological basis for the seismic building code in Russia. Izvestiya, Physics
of the Solid Earth, V. 38, No 12, p. 1044-1056. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., M.
Radulian, M. Rizescu, G.F. Panza.* 2002.* *Source scaling of intermediate-depth
Vrancea earthquakes. Geophys. J. Int., V. 151, p. 879–889. **pdf
>>**

*Petukhin A.G., A.A.* *Gusev. *2003.*
*The Duration-distance Relationship and Average Envelope Shapes of Small
Kamchatka Earthquakes. Pure appl.geophys, V. 160, p. 1717–1743. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., V.V.
Ponomareva, O.A. Braitseva, I.V. Melekestsev, L.D. Sulerzhitsky.*2003.* *Great
explosive eruptions on Kamchatka during the last 10,000 years: Self-similar
irregularity of the output of volcanic products. J. Geophys. Res., V. 108. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V.V. Ponomareva, O.A. Braitseva, I.V.
Melekestsev, L.D. Sulerzhitsky. *Fractal episodicity of great explosive eruptions on
kamchatka during holocene. CD-ROM: International Association for Mathematical
Geology Meeting "IAMG 2003", Portsmouth, UK, September 7-12, 2003
Session S1, p. 1-6. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., L.S.
Shumilina.* 2004.* *Recurrence of Kamchatka Strong Earthquakes on a
Scale of Moment Magnitudes. Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, V. 40, No 3,
p. 206-215. **pdf
>>**

*Petukhin A.G., H.
Nakahara, A.A. Gusev.* 2004.* *Inversion of the high-frequency source
radiation of M6.8 Avachinsky Gulf, Kamchatka, earthquake using empirical and
theoretical envelope Green functions. Earth Planets Space, V. 56, p.
921–925. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., E.M.
Guseva, V.M. Pavlov.* 2004.* *Correlation between local slip rate and local
high-frequency radiation capability in an earthquake fault. Preprint
(IC/2004/1), Triest, 2004, 20 p. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A. *2004. Order
clustering in the sequences of volcanic eruptions and earthquakes of the world.
Linkages among tectonics, seismicity, magma genesis and eruption in volcanic
arcs. IV International Biennial Workshop on Subduction Processes emphasizing
the Japan-Kurile-Kamchatka-Aleutian Arcs. Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky. August
21-27, 2004, p. 12-13. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A. *2005. Multiscale
Order Grouping in Sequences of Earth's Earthquakes. Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid
Earth, V. 41, No 10, p. 798-812. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V.M.
Pavlov. *2006. Wideband simulation of earthquake ground motion by a
spectrum-matching, multiple-pulse technique. First European Conference on
Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (a joint event of the 13th ECEE &
30th General Assembly of the ESC) Geneva, Switzerland, 3-8 September 2006,
Paper Number: 408. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V.M. Pavlov. *2006. Wideband simulation of
earthquake ground motion by a spectrum-matching, multiple-pulse technique.
Preprint (IC/2006/023), Trieste. 2006. 26 p. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., E.M. Guseva and G.F. Panza.*2006. Correlation between local slip
rate and local high-frequency seismic radiation in an earthquake fault. Pure
Appl. Geophys. 163, Iss. 7, p. 1305-1325** DOI:**10.1007/s00024-006-0068-4 **pdf >>**

*Gusev
A.A., E.M. Guseva and G.F.* *Panza.
*2007. Size and duration of the high-frequency radiator in the source
of the 2004 December 26 Sumatra earthquake. Geophys. J. Int., v. 170, p.
1119-1128. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2007.03368.x **pdf >>**

**2008**

*Gusev A.A.* 2008. Temporal structure of global
sequence of volcanic eruptions: order clustering and intermittent discharge
rate. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., V. 166, p. 203-218. **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A.* 2008. Stochastic self-similarity of envelopes of
high-frequency teleseismic P-waves from large earthquakes suggests fractal
pattern for earthquake rupture. At public repository: http://arxiv.org/abs/0811.1177 **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., V. Pavlov, F. Romanelli and G. Panza.* 2008. Low-frequency seismic ground motion at the pier positions of the
planned Messina Straits bridge for a realistic earthquake scenario. In: 2008
Seismic Engineering Conference: Commemorating the
1908 Messina and Reggio Calabria Earthquake. Amer. Inst. Phys. Conf. Proc., V.
1020, Iss.1, p. 362-369, DOI:10.1063/1.2963858 , ISBN: 978-0-7354-0542-4, **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A., E.M. Guseva, V.M. Pavlov. *2009. Modeling of the Ground Motion
for the Petropavlovsk Earthquake of
November 24, 1971 (M = 7.6). Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, v.
45, No 5, p. 395-405. [translation to English] **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A. A., V. M.* *Pavlov. *2009.
Broadband Simulation of Earthquake Ground Motion by a Spectrum-Matching,
Multiple-Pulse Technique. Earthquake Spectra, V. 25, Issue 2, p. 257-276 (May 2009) **pdf
>>**

*Chebrov V.N., A.A. Gusev, V.K. Gusyakov, V.N.
Mishatkin *and *A.A. Poplavskii.* 2010.* *Concept for Devoloping a Seismologic
Observation System for Tsunami Warning in the Russian Far East. Seismic
Instruments, V. 46, No 3, p. 261-271 [translation to English] **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A. *2010*. *Approximate Stochastic Self-Similarity of Envelopes of
High-Frequency Teleseismic P-Waves from Large Earthquakes. Pure Appl. Geophys. 167 (2010), p. 1343-1363 **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A., E.M. Guseva.* 2010.* *The
Geometry and Temporal Structure of High Frequency Source: The Olyutorskii Earthquake
of April 20, 2006.* *Journal
of Volcanology and Seismology, V. 4, No 2, p. 116–125 [translation to English] **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.* 2010. Theoretical and observed envelopes of
scattered high-frequency seismic waves at local to regional distances. Advanced School on Direct and Inverse
Problems of Seismology. Trieste, Italy, 27
Sept- 8 October, 2010. Lecture notes. **pdf
>>**;

also at: http://cdsagenda5.ictp.it/askArchive.php?base=agenda&categ=a09169&id=a09169s3t4/lecture_notes; and

*Chubarova O. S., A. A. Gusev and V. N. Chebrov.* 2010 The ground motion excited by
the Olyutorskii earthquake of April 20, 2006 and by its aftershocks based on
digital recordings. Journal of Volcanology and Seismology, V. 4, No 2
[translation to English] p. 126-138. **pdf >>**

*Chubarova O.S., A.A. Gusev**, S.A*. *Vikulina. *20-s regional surface-wave
magnitude for the Russian Far East // Seismic instruments, V. 47, p. 241-245,
2011 [translation into
English**]** **pdf
>>**** **

*Gusev A.A. *2010.* *Observed
HF radiation from an earthquake fault: properties; relation to fault structure;
possible generation mechanisms. Abstracts, 7th ACES International Workshop
"APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation" 2010 Otaru Japan, http://www.aces.org.au/ACES2010/files/abstracts/2_1400_Gusev_ACES2010_abstract_49399.pdf

*Gusev A.A. *2011.* *Broadband Kinematic Stochastic Simulation of an Earthquake
Source: a Refined Procedure for Application in Seismic Hazard Studies. Pure Appl. Geophys, 168 (2011), p.
155–200 **pdf
>>**

*Gusev A.A. *2011.
Statistics of the Values of a
Normalized Slip in the Points of an Earthquake Fault. Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, 2011,
V. 47, No 3, p. 176–185. [translation to English] **pdf >>**

*Gusev A.A.
*2012.* *Fractal earthquake
source with slip pulse generates аcceleration
time histories with flat spectra. Ехtended abstract, ASC meeting, Ulaan-Baatar.** ****pdf >>**

*Gusev* *A.A. *2013. Fractal
earthquake source with slip zone generates acceleration time histories with
flat spectra. Doklady Earth Sciences, V. 448, (2), p.
211–213. **pdf>>
**

*Gusev A.A.* 2013*.* [“Online
first” version: 2012] High-Frequency Radiation from an Earthquake Fault:
A Review and a Hypothesis of Fractal Rupture Front Geometry. Pure Appl.
Geophys. January 2013, V. 170*,* Issue 1-2, p. 65-93 DOI 10.1007/s00024-012-0455-y **pdf >>**

**2014**

*Gusev A.A., E.M. Guseva. *2014. Scaling properties of corner frequencies of Kamchatka earthquakes.
Doklady Earth Sciences. 2014, V. 458,
(1), p. 1112–1115. **pdf >>**

*Gusev A. A.* 2014. Doubly stochastic
earthquake source model: “omega-square” spectrum and low high-frequency
directivity revealed by numerical experiments. Pure Appl.Geophys, V. 171, Issue
10, p. 2581-2599, DOI 10.1007/s00024-013-0764-9**pdf>>**

**2016**

*Gusev A.A., E.M. Guseva.* Source Spectra of Near Kamchatka Earthquakes: Recovering them from S-Wave Spectra, and Determination of Scaling
for Three Corner Frequencies. Pure Appl. Geophys. 2016, V. 173, Issue 5, pp.
1539-1557. DOI 10.1007/s00024-016-1289-9 **pdf>>**

*Gusev A.A. *Comment on "Total Probability Theorem Versus Shakeability: A
Comparison between Two Seismic - Hazard Approaches Used in Central Asia"
by D. Bindi and S. Parolai *by A.A. Gusev*.
Seismological Research Letters. 2016. 87 (4) DOI:**pdf>>**

*Frank W.B., N.M. Shapiro, A. L. Husker, V.
Kostoglodov, A. A. Gusev, M. Campillo*. The evolving interaction of low-frequency
earthquakes during transient slip. *Sci Adv *2016, 2:. doi:
10.1126/sciadv.1501616 **pdf>>**

*Gusev A.A., E.M. Guseva. *Shear Wave Attenuation Estimated from the Spectral Decay Rate in the Vicinity
of the Petropavlovsk Station, Kamchatka. Izvestiya,
Physics of the Solid Earth, 2016, V. 52, (4), pp. 503–519*.* **pdf>> **

[Russian original]: *Gusev A.A., E.M.
Guseva. *2016, No 4, pp. 35-51 **pdf>>**

*Gusev A.A. *Characteristic scale of* *heterogeneity of seismically* *active fault and its manifestation in
scaling of earthquake source spectra. Doklady
Earth Sciences. 2016, Vol. 470,
Part 2, pp. 1104–1108.** pdf>> **

[Russian original]:* **Gusev A.A*. 2016, published in Doklady Akademii Nauk, 2016,
Vol. 470, No. 6, pp. 711–715*.*** pdf>>**

*Gusev A.A., O.S. Chubarova.* Regional Long-Period Magnitude Scales and Their Capabilities for Tsunami
Warning. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics*,
*2016, Vol. 52, No. 8, pp. 797–805.** pdf>> **

[Russian original]: *Gusev
A.A., O.S. Chubarova,* 2016, published
in Geofizicheskie Protsessy i Biosfera, 2016, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 43–56.** pdf>>**

*Magrin A.A, A. Gusev, F. Romanelli, F.
Vaccari and G. F. Panza*. Broadband
NDSHA computations and earthquake ground motion observations for the Italian
territory. Int. J.
Earthquake and Impact Engineering, 2016* *Vol. 1,
Nos.* *1/2, 2016., pp.* *131 -158.**
pdf>>**

*Gusev A.A., Skorkina A.A. and Guseva
E.M. *Three-corner
representation of earthquake source spectra at Kamchatka. The 11th Asian
Seismological Commission General Assembly, 2016. Nov 25-27, Melbourne, Vic*. *__pdf>>__

*Gusev A.A., Palueva A.A. *Orientation of links connecting
pairs of neighbour epicentres on Kamchatka is non-random, and varies in space
and time. The 11th Asian Seismological Commission General Assembly, 2016. Nov
25-27, Melbourne, Vic.* *__pdf>>__

**2017**

*Gusev A.A., E.M. Guseva.* The character of
scaling earthquake source spectra for Kamchatka in the 3.5-6.5 magnitude range.
Doklady Earth Sciences. 2017, Vol. 472,
Part 2, pp. 211–214.** pdf>>**

DOI 10.1134/S1028334X1702012X;

[Russian original]: *Gusev A.A., E.M.
Guseva,* 2017,
published in Doklady Akademii Nauk, 2017, Vol. 472, No. 5, pp. 580–583.** pdf>>**

*Chubarova O.S., A.A. Gusev*. A Regional Surface Wave Magnitude
Scale for the Earthquakes of Russia’s Far East, Izvestiya, Physics of the
Solid Earth, 2017, Vol. 53, No. 1, pp. 58–68.** pdf>>**

[Russian original]: *Chubarova
O.S., A.A. Gusev*, published in Fizika
Zemli, 2017, No. 1, pp. 60–71.** pdf>>**

*Skorkina A.A., A.A. Gusev 2017*. Determination of corner frequencies
of source spectra for subduction earthquakes in Avacha Gulf (Kamchatka).
Russian Geology and Geophysics, 58(7), 844–854.** **

doi: j.rgg.2017.06.007 __pdf>>__

[Russian original]: *Skorkina A.A., A.A. Gusev 2017, *published in Russian
Geology and Geophysics 58 (7) 1057–1068 __pdf>>__

*Shapiro N.M, Droznin D.V., Droznina S.Ya., Senyukov S.L., Gusev A.A., Gordeev E.I.* Deep and shallow long-period volcanic seismicity linked by
fluid-pressure transfer. Nature Geoscience. 2017. V. 10, No 6, pp. 442-445. D
Doi: 10.1038/NGEO2952 **pdf>>**

*Abubakirov I. R., A. A. Gusev, E. M. Guseva, V. M. Pavlov, and A. A.
Skorkina.* Mass Determination of Moment Magnitudes *M*_{w}
and Establishing the Relationship between *M*_{w}
and *M*_{L} for Moderate and Small Kamchatka Earthquakes. Izvestiya, Physics of the
Solid Earth, 2018, Vol. 54, No. 1, pp. 33–47. __pdf>>__

[Russian original]: *Abubakirov I. R., A. A. Gusev, E. M. Guseva, V. M. Pavlov, and A. A.
Skorkina, *published in Fizika
Zemli 2018, No 1, pp.
37- 51. __pdf>>__

*Gusev A.A.* Random kinematics of
unbounded earthquake rupture propagation simulated using a cellular model
Geophysical Journal International. Submitted. **pdf>>**